Croesyceiliog vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BRI
3 - 3
CRO
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 1
LID
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BRY
2 - 1
CRO
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
TAF
3 - 3
CRO
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 1
CRO
72%
17%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 3
TAF
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
LID
1 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 2
PON
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
QPA
2 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |