Croesyceiliog vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 4
BRI
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
NWP
3 - 2
CRO
43%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 1
DIN
66%
19%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 3
CRO
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
ABE
1 - 0
CRO
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
2 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
7 - 1
MAE
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +5 |