Crociati Noceto vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crociati Noceto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 1
CRO
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 2
VIN
57%
24%
20%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 3
CRO
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CRO
3 - 2
GIU
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ACG
1 - 1
CRO
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ACG
2 - 0
LAQ
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LAQ
4 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GIU
0 - 1
LAQ
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |