Crociati Noceto vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crociati Noceto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GIU
2 - 1
CRO
61%
23%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 0
ACG
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
CRO
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 0
ACP
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
5 - 1
CRO
57%
23%
21%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FAN
2 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
FAN
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FAN
1 - 1
FCC
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ACS
2 - 1
FAN
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FAN
1 - 1
VIN
71%
19%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |