Croacia U21 vs Suecia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croacia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
CRO
1 - 0
IRL
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 1
QAT
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
THA
1 - 3
CRO
5%
10%
85%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 2
EGY
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
AUS
2 - 1
CRO
12%
15%
73%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Suecia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
SWE
1 - 2
QAT
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
WAL
1 - 1
SWE
19%
22%
60%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
SWE
1 - 2
BEL
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
IRL
3 - 2
SWE
26%
23%
50%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 0
IRL
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |