Croacia U21 vs Irlanda U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croacia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 1
QAT
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
THA
1 - 3
CRO
5%
10%
85%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 2
EGY
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
AUS
2 - 1
CRO
12%
15%
73%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 2
GEO
57%
21%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Irlanda U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
HUN
1 - 3
IRL
26%
24%
49%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
IRL
0 - 2
SCO
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
IRL
3 - 2
SWE
26%
23%
50%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 0
IRL
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
IRL
70%
18%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |