Croacia U21 vs Egipto U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croacia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
AUS
2 - 1
CRO
12%
15%
73%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 2
GEO
57%
21%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
GEO
1 - 0
CRO
22%
21%
58%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 2
GRC
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 0
AND
83%
11%
6%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Egipto U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
QAT
1 - 1
EGY
17%
19%
64%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EGY
3 - 0
TAN
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
EGY
0 - 0
TAN
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 1
EGY
38%
23%
39%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MTN
1 - 2
EGY
15%
20%
66%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |