Croacia U20 vs Rusia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croacia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 0
RUS
24%
21%
55%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 0
CRO
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
QAT
2 - 1
CRO
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 2
CHI
17%
21%
61%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
NZL
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rusia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 0
RUS
24%
21%
55%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
RUS
1 - 2
ARG
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
RUS
2 - 0
VEN
26%
22%
53%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
RUS
0 - 0
URU
11%
15%
73%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
RUS
3 - 0
QAT
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |