Croatia U19 vs Montenegro U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
CRO
28%
23%
50%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 2
AUT
51%
23%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
CRO
40%
23%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
TUR
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
ISL
1 - 4
CRO
16%
19%
65%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Montenegro U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2015 |
UKR
2 - 0
MNE
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MNE
1 - 0
BIH
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
MNE
2 - 1
POL
35%
24%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MNE
6 - 3
CYP
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ROU
0 - 1
MNE
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |