Jong Colombia vs Hubentut Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
COL
1 - 3
SIT
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
VIC
4 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
COL
1 - 3
HOL
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2007 |
SVV
3 - 3
COL
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
UND
6 - 1
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hubentut Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
HOL
0 - 3
HUB
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
HUB
1 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
SUB
3 - 1
HUB
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
HUB
1 - 1
SVV
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
SIT
1 - 2
HUB
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |