Cristobal Colon JAS vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
85.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
FER
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
RES
2 - 1
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
FER
3 - 0
12O
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |