Cristal CA vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cristal CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
SPM
2 - 5
CRI
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRI
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 2
CRI
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
CRI
1 - 1
TDC
37%
24%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
TDC
1 - 1
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRI
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
SPM
5 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 3
AMA
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |