Criciúma vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 0
GOI
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 2
CRI
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
CRI
18%
23%
60%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 3
FLA
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
YAP
1 - 1
SAL
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 1
GUR
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
CRI
18%
23%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |