Criciúma vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ABC
3 - 1
CRI
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 0
BOA
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
CRI
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 3
SCI
21%
28%
51%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 3
PAY
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 3
NAU
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
NAU
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |