Criciúma vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 1
OPE
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CRI
3 - 2
CHA
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
CRI
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
CRI
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRI
5 - 0
CAM
71%
20%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |