Criciúma vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 2
CRI
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
MOG
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRB
3 - 1
CRI
34%
29%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
PAY
51%
25%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 2
OES
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 0
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUV
5 - 1
NAU
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 1
BRA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 0
NAU
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |