Criciúma vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 1
CRI
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAR
53%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 1
CRI
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
GOI
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
CRI
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 3
GOI
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 2
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOA
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |