Criciúma vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
BLU
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 0
CRI
50%
27%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 1
PPE
37%
30%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 0
CRI
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 1
VAS
24%
29%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
CSA
33%
32%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 1
PPE
58%
25%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
CSA
37%
30%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
CSA
32%
30%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |