Criciúma vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
TOM
52%
28%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
CRI
46%
29%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRI
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 0
ITU
33%
30%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
NAU
49%
28%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
CAC
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
BRU
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 1
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAC
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 2
CAC
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |