Criciúma vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
30.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
CAC
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
CRI
50%
27%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
CRI
9%
17%
74%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 0
BAH
23%
29%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 1
CRI
65%
23%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
CSA
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
CHA
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
PPE
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
VIL
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
CHA
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |