Criciúma vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CRI
4 - 0
OPE
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
CAX
3 - 0
OPE
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAX
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CAX
0 - 1
CAL
81%
13%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
CAX
1 - 1
BAH
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
CAX
1 - 1
VAS
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |