Crewe Alexandra vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
CRE
1 - 0
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 2
CRE
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
CRE
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 0
BCF
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PNE
1 - 3
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
STE
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
STE
1 - 3
COV
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STE
1 - 2
CRA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 2
STE
18%
26%
57%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |