Crewe Alexandra vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
DER
5 - 1
CRE
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
PNE
2 - 1
CRE
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
SHW
3 - 0
CRE
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CRE
3 - 4
QPR
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
COV
1 - 1
CRE
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
PLY
1 - 1
NOR
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 0
PLY
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
PLY
0 - 3
LEE
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
WOL
1 - 1
PLY
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
PLY
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |