Crewe Alexandra vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
STO
1 - 4
CRE
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
CRE
2 - 0
QPR
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
MAC
3 - 2
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 1
CRE
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
CRE
2 - 0
TRA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
PLY
1 - 3
WIG
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
PLY
0 - 0
NOR
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
WYC
2 - 1
PLY
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
PLY
2 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
PLY
0 - 1
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |