Crewe Alexandra vs Leeds United Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
CRE
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
CRE
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
DON
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 1
TRA
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
CRE
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MID
2 - 4
LUS
22%
22%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 0
LUS
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 1
LUS
22%
22%
56%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 5
LUS
69%
17%
14%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 0
STC
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |