Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 0
STA
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 2
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CRE
4 - 1
DAG
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
AFC
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
MOR
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
AFC
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
ALD
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
MAC
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |