Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CRE
3 - 0
DAR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
CRE
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
DAG
2 - 0
CRE
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 1
CRE
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 2
ROC
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 1
BOU
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOU
1 - 2
BCF
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
BOU
0 - 2
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 1
GUL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 1
BOU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |