Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 1
CRE
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
POS
2 - 0
CRE
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
STF
0 - 1
CRE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 1
IPS
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
GIL
4 - 1
CRE
33%
26%
40%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
STF
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
DON
0 - 1
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 2
STA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
STA
0 - 1
PLY
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |