Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SWI
5 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LEY
2 - 0
CRE
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CRE
2 - 1
TRA
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MKD
1 - 0
CRE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
BCF
3 - 2
CRE
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STA
0 - 1
BUR
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
CAR
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STA
0 - 1
CHE
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BCF
3 - 0
STA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
OPA
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |