Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 2
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CRE
4 - 1
DAG
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
OXF
0 - 1
CRE
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STA
0 - 4
PLY
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
STA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 3
GIL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 0
STA
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |