Cretense vs Calaceite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cretense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 2
CRE
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 7
VAL
20%
21%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
CRE
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 3
CRE
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 2
VAL
26%
22%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Calaceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
6 - 1
CAL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FUE
1 - 2
CAL
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 5
QUI
23%
22%
54%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CFL
1 - 1
CAL
58%
21%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 1
FUE
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |