Creteil vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
NIO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
STL
1 - 1
LUS
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUS
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
4 - 2
LUS
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CLE
3 - 4
GAZ
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
GAZ
0 - 2
AJA
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
GAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
LHA
1 - 1
GAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
GAZ
2 - 0
VAL
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |