Creteil vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 1
NIC
19%
26%
55%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
NIO
3 - 1
LUS
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LUS
1 - 2
GUI
28%
31%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUS
48%
28%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
LUS
0 - 0
STR
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
ORL
0 - 2
BAS
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
LUZ
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
UJA
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 2
BAS
29%
28%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
FRE
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |