Créteil II vs Douai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Créteil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SED
3 - 0
CRE
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CRE
1 - 1
MEZ
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 2
CRE
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CRE
0 - 1
ROY
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 1
CRE
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DOU
0 - 1
CHA
13%
21%
67%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LES
5 - 1
DOU
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
DOU
0 - 0
FEI
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
STG
3 - 1
DOU
76%
16%
9%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
DOU
2 - 4
CAL
17%
25%
58%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | -1 |