Créteil II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Créteil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 3
CHA
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LES
0 - 3
CRE
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
FEI
27%
25%
49%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
CRE
57%
24%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 1
ESW
39%
28%
33%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ARR
4 - 1
MEZ
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
ARR
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 1
LIL
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LES
0 - 0
ARR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 2
ROY
49%
27%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |