Crespi vs Speranza Agrate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CIT
3 - 0
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CRE
2 - 2
CAR
13%
18%
69%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 2
CRI
19%
21%
61%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
CRE
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 0
CEN
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Speranza Agrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 0
POL
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CIT
1 - 1
SPE
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
SPE
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 1
PAD
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COB
2 - 2
SPE
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |