Crespi vs Citta Di Segrate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
CRE
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 3
COB
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 1
CRE
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 1
REA
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Citta Di Segrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
CIT
74%
15%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIT
1 - 2
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COB
2 - 1
CIT
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CIT
3 - 1
CRI
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REA
1 - 7
CIT
9%
17%
74%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | +1 |