Cremonese U17 vs Sudtirol U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
4º
19
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 22 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 22 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
71% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CRE
2 - 0
CIT
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
HEL
1 - 3
CRE
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CRE
2 - 3
BRE
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
VNZ
2 - 4
CRE
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 1
INT
11%
15%
74%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sudtirol U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
FSU
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FSU
0 - 4
MIL
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ASS
5 - 0
FSU
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAG
0 - 0
FSU
74%
15%
12%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FSU
2 - 3
CIT
26%
21%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |