Crema vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 5
CRE
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CRE
3 - 1
NIB
25%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +4 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 2
CRE
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 2
USD
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 1
CRE
50%
25%
26%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 2
NIB
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
USP
0 - 1
TRI
33%
23%
45%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TRI
0 - 1
NOV
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
JUS
2 - 1
TRI
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SON
1 - 1
TRI
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |