Crema vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 0
CAM
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
BUS
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 0
CRE
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 0
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 0
PRO
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GRU
1 - 2
TRE
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
TRE
3 - 3
ROM
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
REZ
4 - 2
TRE
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 2
LEC
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |