Crema vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAL
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
CRE
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 2
ARC
56%
22%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OLG
3 - 4
UNI
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
OLG
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
OLG
0 - 0
ARC
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLG
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OLG
2 - 0
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |