Crema vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 2
VIL
55%
23%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
CRE
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 3
USP
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 4
SAN
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VCB
4 - 1
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
SON
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAR
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
23%
24%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |