Crema vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CRE
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 1
OLG
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAL
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DES
4 - 0
UNI
31%
21%
48%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
DES
67%
17%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
SAN
35%
22%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
DES
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |