Crema vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
CRE
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CRE
3 - 2
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRE
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 2
USB
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 3
CRE
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DES
4 - 1
TRI
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
USP
1 - 1
DES
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DES
2 - 1
NOV
80%
13%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
DES
0 - 1
SON
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
5 - 0
DES
50%
21%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |