Crema vs Asola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
RIG
3 - 2
CRE
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 1
CRE
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
6 - 0
SAR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ORS
0 - 0
CRE
37%
24%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
2 - 3
REZ
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Asola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ORC
4 - 1
ASO
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ASO
1 - 2
RIG
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 0
ASO
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASO
0 - 2
VIL
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GRU
4 - 0
ASO
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |