Creck Sporting vs Moyale Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creck Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CSF
3 - 1
AZT
18%
24%
58%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Moyale Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MOY
2 - 1
MAF
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOY
7 - 0
RED
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MOY
1 - 1
MAF
40%
27%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MOY
4 - 1
CHU
35%
27%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MOY
2 - 3
BUL
37%
29%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |