CRB vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 1
CRB
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 1
OES
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 1
LON
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
LUV
0 - 0
CRB
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 2
VIL
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
JEC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |