CRB vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
CRB
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 0
COR
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CRB
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
VAS
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 1
REM
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLA
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |