CRB vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 3
CRB
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 1
GOI
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 3
CRB
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 2
VAS
16%
25%
59%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 1
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
TUP
2 - 1
CEA
20%
26%
55%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
TUP
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 1
TUP
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
AVA
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
TUP
2 - 1
BAH
20%
27%
54%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |