CRB vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 1
CRB
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 5
CRB
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 2
ATA
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CSE
4 - 1
CRB
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CRB
1 - 2
MUR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
COR
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
CEO
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CSA
4 - 0
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 4
CSE
25%
27%
48%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |